An investment advisor believes that there is a 60% chance of making money by investing in a specific stock. If the stock makes money, then there is a 50% chance that among those making money, they would also get a dividend. Find the probability that the investor makes money and receive a dividend.

Answer :

Answer:

[tex]\mathbf{ 0.6 \times 0.5 = 0.3 }[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Let M denote the event that the stock makes money and D denote the event that the stock pays dividends.

It is given that [tex] P(M) = 0.6 [/tex]

Observe that the two events M and D are not independent because if the stock doesn't make money then it will not pay dividends. Therefore the event [tex] D | M^{c} [/tex] (D given M does not occur) is a null event, i.e

[tex] P(D|M^{c}) = 0[/tex]

It is also given that,

[tex] P(D|M) = 0.5 [/tex]

Recall that : [tex] P(D|M) = \frac{P(D \cap M)}{P(M)} [/tex]

Here, we are required to find [tex] P(D \cap M) [/tex]

[tex]P(D \cap M) =P(D|M) \times P(M)= 0.5 \times 0.6 = 0.3[/tex]

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